Curriculum Vitae of Stephen T. Ziliak

 

[Curriculum Vitae  Stephen T Ziliak July 2014]

[right:] “The Haiku Economist”, by Yuko Shimizu

 

 

RECENT HIGHLIGHTS

Guinness Brewery, St James s Gate Dublin Ziliak photo

  • What is renganomics?  Read Stephen T. Ziliak’s “The Spontaneous Order of Words: Economics Experiments in Haiku and Renga,published in Vol. 5, No. 3 of the International Journal of Pluralism and Economics Education (2014)                                                                                                                                                       The article introduces a new game and teaching tool, called renganomics, and includes economic haiku and renga by six Roosevelt students                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Renganomics Paper – ZILIAK IJPEE 2014

Haiku economist Stephen T Ziliak Oomph

“Words – the symbolic language used to communicate – are portrayed by social scientists as at the same time powerful and powerless in affecting social change. The question is, however, not whether words are powerful – it is not clear if these theories can be reconciled – but when they are powerful and towards what consequence. This panel symposium facilitates a multi-diciplinary dialogue on the topic, by bringing four eminent scholars from sociology, psychology, economics and communication studies to reflect on their fields’ insights and engage in dialogue.”

Ziliak McCloskey Lady Justice v Cult of Statistical Signifcance_ Ethics 2014

"This statistical significance always works and always doesn't work."  - U.S. Supreme Court Justice Stephen Breyer, Matrixx v. Siracusano Oral Arguments, January 2011.

“This statistical significance always works and always doesn’t work.” – U.S. Supreme Court Justice Stephen Breyer, Matrixx v. Siracusano Oral Arguments, January 2011

“Precision is Nice, but Oomph is the Bomb” (Ziliak and McCloskey 2008, p. 23)

Presenting Dr. Deconinck (and his limerick writing Jury), KU Leuven, Belgium 2014: Frank Verboven, Erik Schokkaert, Koen Deconinck, Jo Swinnen, Julian Alston, and Stephen T. Ziliak

Presenting Dr. Deconinck (and his limerick writing Jury), KU Leuven, Belgium 2014: Frank Verboven, Erik Schokkaert, Koen Deconinck, Jo Swinnen, Julian Alston, Stephen T. Ziliak

 

Read more at Robin Bates’s Better Living Through Beowulf (“Haikus Make Econ Less Dismal“, May 28th 2014), Mark Thoma’s  Economist’s View  (“Renganomics“), David Ruccio’s AntiCap (“Poem of the Day“, May 14th & 17th, 2014), and Tim Harford aka The Undercover Economist (May 14th, 2014).

          Read more: “Roosevelt Economists Challenge Use of Randomized Tests

Cult of Statistical Significance Ziliak

 

Steve Ziliak, after giving his "Guinnessometrics" lecture at the centenary celebration of "Student's" t-test, July 2008

Steve Ziliak, after giving his “Guinnessometrics” lecture at the centenary celebration of “Student’s” t-test, July 2008

 

 Learn more here about The Review of Behavioral Economics

Gosset Student drawings of kurtosis

 

St. James's Gate after the Gosset plaque-hanging ceremony, July 2008

Randomized trials are not the gold standard of statistics. The reason is in your Guinness! Photo by S. T. Ziliak

 

  • Blast from the Past (San Diego, Jan. 4, 2004):  I recently came across a copy of my 2004 plenary address to the American Economic Association, “Size Matters: The Standard Error of Regressions in the American Economic Review(based on the article by Stephen T. Ziliak and Deirdre N. McCloskey).  Here are the Powerpoint slides:                                                                                                                                                                                       Size Matters Ziliak and McCloskey 2004 AEA Plenary on Statistical Significance                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Chair: Kenneth J. Arrow; Respondent: Deirdre N. McCloskey; Organizer: Morris Altman, Association for Social Economics and Editor, Journal of Socio-Economics (Special issue on Z-M’s research on statistical significance, v. 33, 2004) .  Discussants & Commentators: Morris Altman, Graham Elliott, Sir Clive Granger, Fiona Fidler, Gerd Gigerenzer, Joel Horowitz, Edward Leamer, Peter Lunt, Nathan Berg, Mark Burgman, Geoff Cumming, Anthony O’Brien, Bruce Thompson, Neil Thomason, Erik Thorbecke, Jeffrey Wooldridge, and Arnold Zellner.                                                                                                                                                                                                          An estimated 325-350 economists, journalists, and others attended the “significant” session – including five Nobel laureates and many of the leading econometricians and statisticians of the 20th century.  Lovely day for a regression!  Read more at  The Economist , Journal of Economic Methodology, and Z-M’s reply to discussants and commentators.                                                                                                                                                                                 A few of my favorite quotes from that day: “You and Deirdre are right – keep going!” – Arnold Zellner (University of Chicago); “What should we do with random error?” – Joel Horowitz (Northwestern); “Amazing talk; were you nervous?” – Steve Cullenberg (UC-Riverside); “Excellent job, Mr. Ziliak.” – Ken Arrow (Stanford).
  • I, Stephen T. Ziliak, will be on reddit’s “Ask Me Anything”  Thursday, March 28 2013, starting at 6:00 PM Eastern Time.  Ask me anything here

    Ask me anything on reddit, Thurs. March 28 2013, 6 PM ET.  - Steve Ziliak

    Ask me anything on reddit, Thurs. March 28 2013, 6 PM ET.
    - Steve Ziliak

Here is Tom Mayer’s original article which started the four article-long exchange between him and Ziliak and McCloskey: “Ziliak and McCloskey’s Criticisms of Significance Tests: An Assessment”

Join the conversation at the mathematician Olle Häggström’s Häggström hävdar blog.

Of related interest, see also: Ziliak’s and McCloskey’s reply to Arnold Zellner, Clive Granger, Ed Leamer, Jeffrey Wooldridge, Joel Horowitz and other critics: “Significance Redux“, Journal of Socio-Economics (2004)

  • I, Stephen T. Ziliak, will be on reddit, “Ask Me Anything”/Ask Social Science: Thursday, February 28th, 2013, starting at 6:00 PM Eastern Time.  Ask me anything, but especially anything about the cult of statistical significance; Guinnessometrics; haiku economics; welfare; justice; and rhetoric: here.

Reddit Ask me Anything/Ask Social Science, Feb. 28, 2013 5 PM CT to ?

             Reddit Ask me Anything/Ask Social Science, Feb. 28, 2013 5 PM CT to ?
  • Ziliak’s and McCloskey’s work on significance testing is discussed in a charming Platonic dialogue by the philosopher Deborah Mayo, in her blog Error Statistics (January 2013)
  • Here are two interviews with Stephen T. Ziliak talking about “haiku economics” – the art form and teaching tool he pioneered in  2001, while teaching economics at the Georgia Institute of Technology: here and here.
  • Ziliak is Visiting Professor at École Nationale Supérieure d’Arts et Métiers ParisTech, Paris, France; Graduate Programs in Risk and Management Sciences, Bioengineering, and English, November 2011 and November 2012.  While in Paris, Professor Ziliak taught four graduate-level courses on Theories of Justice in Economics & Philosophy; Rhetoric & Writing in the Social Sciences; The Cult of Statistical Significance; and Guinnessometrics Against the Gold Standard: On Randomization, Significance, and the Search for Validity.

  • Ziliak-McCloskey research featured at the Big Think blog: “The Statistical Significance Scandal,” Dec. 11, 2012.
  • Correlation or causation? Ziliak’s and McCloskey’s The Cult of Statistical Significance is featured in a Slate magazine article by Daniel Engber (Oct. 2, 2012).  Read the discussion by Shaun Manning, at the University of Michigan Press (October 5, 2012).
  • Debate about statistical significance, featuring Stephen T. Ziliak and Deirdre N. McCloskey, was published in the September 2012 issue of Econ Journal Watch: “Statistical Significance in the New Tom and the Old Tom: A Reply to Thomas Mayer”

Here is Mayer’s original article, “Ziliak and McCloskey’s Criticisms of Significance Tests: An Assessment”

  • Article by Stephen T. Ziliak forthcoming in the December issue of Significance magazine (Royal Statistical Society): “Visualizing Uncertainty: Is a Picture Worth a Thousand Regressions?”

  • Ziliak article on “Visualizing Uncertainty” was published in the July 2012 issue of the International Journal of Forecasting. When forecasting economic variables, are scatter plots better than standard regression output, such as R-squared and t-stats? Read more at: “Visualizing Economic Uncertainty: On the Soyer-Hogarth Experiment,” Economist’s View (July 11, 2012).
  • Visiting Professor, Kadir Has University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Istanbul, Turkey, April 2012.
  • New article on behavioral econometrics by Stephen T. Ziliak: “Visualizing Uncertainty: Comment on Soyer’s and Hogarth’s ‘The Illusion of Predictability: How Regression Statistics Mislead Experts’,” International Journal of Forecasting (July 2012).  Special issue on Soyer-Hogarth Experiment, with S. Ziliak, J. Scott Armstrong, D. Goldstein, K. Ord, N. N. Taleb, R. Hogarth, and E. Soyer. Read the SSRN working paper version, here: Visualizing Uncertainty_Ziliak comment on Soyer Hogarth_IJF 2012
  • Haiku Economics“, by Stephen T. Ziliak, was cited by Poetry as one of the  “most-read articles” of 2011.
  • Ziliak’s article – on the relation between haiku poetry, feelings, politics, and economics – appears in Poetry’s January 2011 “The View From Here” column.  According to the Associate Editor of Poetry, “Haiku Economics” is probably the most-read article in that column’s history.  Previous contributors to “The View From Here” column include philosopher Richard Rorty, author Christopher Hitchens, comedienne Lynda Barry, singer-songwriter Neko Case, and John Wooden – the poet and legendary UCLA basketball coach. Read more

* “Recommended economics writing” by The Economist (July 20th, 2011) and “Statisticians in the News”, by the American Statistical Association

* On randomized trials in medicine, see also: Stephen T. Ziliak’s The Validus Medicus and a New Gold Standard, The Lancet, Volume 376, Issue 9738, Pages 324 – 325, 31 July 2010

  • Video on Ethics in Economics, Institute for New Economic Thinking (INET), History of Economics Playground by “The Kids”, Mount Washington Hotel, Bretton Woods, NH; recorded: April 8-11, 2011; published: October, 2011.

The article is: Stephen T. Ziliak, “Matrixx v. Siracusano and Student v. Fisher: Statistical Significance on Trial,” Significance 8 (3, 2011), published by the Royal Statistical Society and the American Statistical Association, pp.131-134.

  • Lecture, “If I Have to Experiment, Should I Randomize? How a Profit-Seeking Brewer Rejected Random Designs of Experiments, Preferring the Perfectly Balanced ABBA,” 2nd Conference on Beeronomics: The Economics of Beer and Brewing, Technische Universität MünchenMunich & Freising, Germany, Sept. 21-24, 2011.
  • Haiku Economics, Poetry lecture and reading in Regina Buccola’s “Introduction to Poetry Writing” course, Roosevelt University, Oct. 3, 2011.
  • Chair, “Best Article in the History of Economics,” History of Economics Society, 2011-2012.  Nomination information is here.

IN THE NEWS

Read about Gosset and Guinness, in The Washington Post.

In light of the November 2011 Harvard-student walk out, protesting the bias of Greg Mankiw’s introduction to economics course, INET interviewed Stephen T. Ziliak asking about his  The Grapes of Wrath course (Econ 102 syllabus) Fall 2009 which he has taught since 1996 as an antidote to conventional economics education.

Read more at Better Living Through Beowulf, “Steinbeck Makes Microeconomics Real,” by Robin Bates (English, St. Mary’s College Maryland);  AntiCap, “We are not Mankiw,” by David Ruccio (Economics, University of Notre Dame); Economist’s View, “A Bluesy Road-Novel with a Lot of Economic Theory and Analysis,” by Mark Thoma.

Review of Ziliak’s and McCloskey’s best-selling book at The University of Michigan Press, The Cult of Statistical Significance, in the November 2011 issue of Significance magazine (Royal Statistical Society and American Statistical Association).  Reviewed by Terry Weight.

See also: Stephen T. Ziliak’s entry on “Rhetoric”, published in the International Encyclopedia of the Social Sciences (Gale, 2007), William Darity, Jr., Editor:  Rhetoric of Social Sciences Ziliak entry IESS 2007